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Macro
Confidence 0.82

RBI keeps repo rate unchanged; projects GDP growth at 6.9%

What happened

The Reserve Bank of India has decided to maintain the current repo rate and has projected India's real GDP growth for the current fiscal year at 6.9%.

Causal chain

RBI's decision supports economic stability

India impact

Positive

  • + Strong FII buying supports Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty.
  • + RBI's unchanged repo rate supports realty and banking sectors.

Negative

  • Nifty IT faces sector-specific pressures despite stable USD/INR.
  • Falling crude prices negatively impact energy and oil & gas sectors.

Neutral

  • ~ Stable USD/INR has limited impact on FMCG and Pharma sectors.

Sector impacts

Nifty Bank +

Unchanged repo rate supports banking sector stability.

Short term (1–4 weeks)

Positive sentiment in banking sector.

Long term (3–6 months)

Supports overall economic growth outlook.

Sources

  • · RBI keeps repo rate unchanged; Projects India’s real GDP growth for current fiscal at 6.9%